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  1. Trust Score
  2. Cardano
Cardano (ADA) cryptocurrency logo

cardano crypto risk metrics

ADA · observed indicators

Cardano (ADA) Risk Metrics and Historical Analysis

Explore how the score changed, which measured factors shaped the latest observation, and how technical and news components moved over time. Every displayed chart is based on dated API observations.

Explore risk historyHow the score works

Current observation

Position on the published 0–100 score scale.

Published score only
55.5Trust Score

As of Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Timeframe: weekly

Trust Score version: 2

Awaiting detail

Overall observed risk

—

Asset-relative observed risk, not a probability of loss.

0–100

Trust Score

55.5

The latest published score. In the versioned model it equals 100 minus overall risk.

Observed

Risk trend

Unavailable

Risk change and velocity were not available for this snapshot.

Snapshot interpretation

What the current data says

The current Cardano page has a published Trust Score, but the versioned component payload is unavailable. Historical observations remain the primary evidence; component values and explanations are intentionally left blank instead of estimated.

Historical observations

Cardano Trust Score and risk history

Trust Score and observed risk use opposite semantic directions, so their histories are shown separately. Scale zones describe normalized model position only, not investment advice.

103 observationsMay 1, 18–Oct 19, 26

Trust Score history

Higher positions indicate a higher published Trust Score on the 0–100 model scale.

Trust Score
Higher scoreMid-rangeLower score0255075100May 1, 18Aug 1, 22Oct 19, 26

Observed risk history

Overall, technical and news risk share the same direction: higher values mean higher observed risk.

At least two dated observations are required

The current snapshot remains available. This chart will appear when another historical observation is published.

Current model position

The marker shows the current value. Missing components remain unavailable and are never converted to zero.

Trust Score55.5
Lower scoreMid-rangeHigher score
Overall observed riskUnavailable
Value unavailable
Technical riskUnavailable
Value unavailable
News riskUnavailable
Value unavailable
ADA snapshot: Only the published score is available; component positions remain unavailable until the detailed endpoint responds.
View the latest historical values
DateTrust ScoreOverall riskTechnicalNews
Oct 19, 2655.5———
Oct 1, 2661.6———
Sep 1, 2625.8———
Aug 1, 2631.7———
Jul 1, 2632.5———
Jun 1, 2692.7———
May 1, 2649.6———
Apr 1, 2644.6———

Model inputs

Measured risk factors

Ranked by the current normalized risk value. These are measured inputs, not recommendations or predictions.

Feature-level values are unavailable in the published-score fallback. The page does not manufacture proxy values.

Explainability

What influenced this snapshot

Recorded value, risk direction and configured model weight are shown separately. Weight describes importance, not risk severity.

Contributor-level output is unavailable for this snapshot. No explanatory factor has been inferred.

Available market evidence

Historical market context

Only market series supplied by the current data sources are displayed. They provide historical context, not a forecast.

Return distribution

Cardano return heatmap

Dated monthly returns provide context for changing risk conditions. Green and red show positive and negative historical observations—not expected future performance.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026
-12.0%
-4.3%
-14.0%
+1.9%
-4.3%
-38.7%
+16.5%
+17.5%
+24.7%
-13.9%
—
—
2025
+11.6%
-32.9%
+4.6%
+3.0%
+0.6%
-16.6%
+29.2%
+9.8%
-0.5%
-24.6%
-32.0%
-19.5%
2024
-16.2%
+31.6%
-0.7%
-32.1%
+1.3%
-12.2%
-1.1%
-11.1%
+8.2%
-8.4%
+215.8%
-21.7%
2023
+58.7%
-9.9%
+13.4%
-0.8%
-5.4%
-23.4%
+7.0%
-16.8%
-0.5%
+15.4%
+28.3%
+58.0%
2022
-19.6%
-8.6%
+18.6%
-33.8%
-17.0%
-26.6%
+12.2%
-13.5%
-2.6%
-6.7%
-21.4%
-22.8%
2021
+90.1%
+280.7%
-9.2%
+13.6%
+28.4%
-20.3%
-4.8%
+109.7%
-23.6%
-7.1%
-20.9%
-15.8%
Negative returnPositive return

Historical Performance

Each bar is a dated period return. The zero line separates gains from declines; the dashed line marks the observed average.

Observations

102

Average

+5.5%

Positive periods

40%

Positive return Negative return Observed average

Protocol context boundary

Context is kept separate from calculated Trust Score inputs.

Protocol context can include staking, governance and ecosystem development. These topics are contextual and are not current Trust Score inputs. This information is provided as manually reviewed context and is not presented as a model-derived value.

Data warnings

  • • This snapshot contains the latest published Trust Score only. Component-level model output and detailed warnings were not available from the current endpoint.

Continue the research

Compare Cardano with related risk profiles

Use the same measurement framework across related assets, then open the methodology or current news context only when you need it.

Related risk pages

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Compare all crypto risk scores

Supporting research

How the score is calculatedCardano news contextSource-linked developments

Interpretation help

Cardano Trust Score FAQs

What does the Cardano Trust Score measure?
It summarizes observed market and attributed news-risk indicators for Cardano (ADA). It is a descriptive research signal, not a safety rating, price forecast or investment recommendation.
What is the difference between Trust Score and observed risk?
In the versioned risk model, Trust Score is the positive-facing complement of observed risk: Trust Score equals 100 minus overall risk. Both should be read with the timestamp, timeframe, missing-data state and warnings.
Does the score include every type of crypto risk?
No. The current model focuses on market-behavior and attributed news inputs. It does not currently include on-chain data, funding, open interest, liquidations, order books, macro regimes or social data.
Does the Trust Score provide an investment recommendation?
No. The page reports observed indicators and model limitations. It does not assess investment suitability or recommend a transaction.
Trust Score v2 · currentSource: Forvest Trust APITimeframe weeklyObserved Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
No investment advice. This page reports observed indicators and available historical data. It does not assess whether Cardano is suitable for a particular investor or recommend a transaction.
Mar 1, 26
61.5
—
—
—
Feb 1, 2649.6———
Jan 1, 2659.1———
Dec 1, 2568.5———

Historical performance is context only and does not predict future returns.

Drawdown history

Drawdown shows historical declines from previous peaks; it is not a maximum future loss estimate.

Latest drawdown

-93.2%

Maximum observed

-95.5%